Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.179117 0.212565 0.250070 0.295173 0.347876 0.407445 0.479813
2025-06-08 0.124222 0.165379 0.216620 0.284836 0.372979 0.482709 0.629329
2025-06-15 0.099615 0.144478 0.204830 0.291390 0.411690 0.572202 0.801696
2025-06-22 0.081770 0.127409 0.192893 0.292772 0.440126 0.648129 0.962225
2025-06-29 0.067386 0.111901 0.179520 0.288388 0.457596 0.708400 1.105395
2025-07-06 0.056500 0.099426 0.168090 0.284165 0.473193 0.765830 1.248788
2025-07-13 0.050928 0.094384 0.167166 0.295624 0.513592 0.864122 1.464061
2025-07-20 0.047989 0.093217 0.172178 0.317058 0.572101 0.996408 1.746462
2025-07-27 0.044150 0.089724 0.172524 0.330183 0.617596 1.111361 2.011199
2025-08-03 0.038922 0.082729 0.165517 0.329014 0.637463 1.184251 2.210716
2025-08-10 0.033164 0.073721 0.153430 0.316645 0.635159 1.217465 2.342837
2025-08-17 0.027950 0.064934 0.140477 0.300736 0.623961 1.232826 2.443079
2025-08-24 0.025141 0.061028 0.137177 0.304461 0.652950 1.328898 2.709834
2025-08-31 0.021427 0.054485 0.127510 0.293923 0.652538 1.369672 2.877085
2025-09-07 0.019610 0.051985 0.126122 0.300683 0.688331 1.484714 3.201275
2025-09-14 0.017640 0.048746 0.122570 0.302107 0.712797 1.579174 3.493122
2025-09-21 0.015553 0.044813 0.116792 0.297592 0.723555 1.646092 3.734346
2025-09-28 0.013755 0.041289 0.111430 0.293241 0.734001 1.713126 3.982045
2025-10-05 0.013010 0.040491 0.112685 0.305045 0.783176 1.869079 4.437249
2025-10-12 0.012801 0.041168 0.117797 0.327122 0.859248 2.092023 5.061260
2025-10-19 0.012193 0.040573 0.119481 0.340639 0.916011 2.276427 5.614966
2025-10-26 0.011038 0.038107 0.115746 0.339435 0.935992 2.377542 5.986403
2025-11-02 0.009596 0.034451 0.108130 0.326697 0.925019 2.404303 6.185845